Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 783.960955 889.410169 1008.895486 1155.373539 1331.560635 1538.527507 1802.843388
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 652.298221 790.828056 962.796318 1196.118281 1511.118205 1931.930800 2555.321575
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 565.766282 710.569781 899.442603 1170.771697 1562.819066 2129.825227 3055.489435
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 514.994286 667.499540 875.513976 1190.618436 1676.476917 2436.737507 3809.838593
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 479.975416 638.756936 863.703511 1220.521217 1803.566748 2784.823584 4739.287338
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 444.681235 604.752062 838.767387 1224.718861 1887.903671 3079.155629 5679.183688
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 409.039340 565.963015 801.241144 1201.816795 1919.606322 3282.936264 6511.440651
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 387.581303 545.965149 789.784306 1219.166715 2024.330537 3651.552829 7886.855917
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 358.084105 510.819490 750.386425 1182.654202 2020.625855 3794.845521 8765.673032
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 333.974013 482.079619 718.508855 1155.079502 2028.966996 3966.012167 9815.869249
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 312.193652 455.354794 687.484202 1125.071428 2026.870001 4112.463101 10880.175498
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 303.307675 448.736964 689.659232 1157.081261 2160.836325 4629.261148 13555.531658
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 291.014979 436.757666 683.500829 1176.561101 2281.925232 5185.859179 17058.825286
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 280.342437 426.822520 680.311359 1202.392357 2426.582245 5879.647393 22123.349813
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 264.683833 406.963348 656.929911 1182.717114 2455.497699 6236.543712 26054.154801
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 255.316823 397.337944 651.555154 1200.556615 2584.426194 6983.060108 33755.890515
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 248.337383 391.328974 652.293917 1231.687615 2756.852638 7980.697170 45964.460148
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 238.784863 379.982511 641.649561 1235.594872 2855.137450 8760.781871 59192.825703
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 227.120791 364.017949 620.580501 1212.549255 2869.940330 9211.774306 71007.957858
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 220.545591 357.002688 616.767640 1230.057068 3013.013572 10332.970979 98144.923991
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 209.113706 340.234109 591.867864 1193.130052 2976.267172 10581.576657 113561.458638
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 199.364193 326.122589 571.470875 1165.224569 2964.034522 10961.851664 135492.575257
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 190.063308 312.389329 550.954219 1134.869264 2938.062243 11265.835962 159752.676073